How the Bay Area Job Market is Driving Real Estate
Whenever there is a vibrant job market, there is a vibrant real estate market. In the East Bay alone, from Pleasanton to Orinda, we have 77,000 people that go to work everyday at Bishop Ranch, Hacienda Business Park, the Financial District in Walnut Creek, etc. This healthy job market is key to our vibrant real estate market.
When we look at the Bay Area, the opportunity in the Peninsula is unbelievable. Out in the Silicon Valley, it’s about jobs, it’s about thriving businesses, and it’s the same in San Francisco. In fact, you have many companies in the Silicon Valley that have moved their headquarter to San Francisco.
The Strength of the Economy
The economy of the San Francisco Bay Area is a little tiny island within the United States — yet it’s powerful. So when someone asks me, “what is happening in the real estate market?” My answer is, “tell me the neighborhood, tell me the street, and I will tell you about the market.” It is different all around the Bay Area. From Noe Valley, San Mateo, Palo Alto, Danville, Orinda, Pleasanton, each market is unique– but it’s still very vibrant no matter where you go.
It’s a Seller’s Market
We have had a seller’s market since January 2013. So we are within the 22 – 23 month of it being a seller’s market. It did change in May. In May, we ended up having a slow down. Instead of a home being 7 – 10 days on the market, it went up to 21- 22 days on the market. But even with the slow down, it is still a very vibrant seller’s market.
Low Inventory Affecting the Market
We are experiencing very low inventory throughout the entire San Francisco Bay Area. When driving across the Bay Bridge, you can see all the cranes that are building high rise living structures. People think these buildings are for sale- they are 100% for rent! There is almost no new construction in San Francisco. Hedge funds and reits have bought these projects and are building 30 and 40 story rentals — because they want rentals.
Out in the East Bay, South Bay, Peninsula, Marin Country– there is almost no significant new home building. One issue of low inventory is that we have had no support from the new home building industry. They have been backing off since 2007 – 2008. So our population is growing, but the new homes that are typically developed to accommodate this growth- have not been built. As a result, we mostly have re-sells available for buyers to consider.
Summary
Overall, the Bay Area is its own micro-economy. It is leading the way in the United States in terms of the housing industry. We have had a 35% – 40% increase in prices in the last 22 months, and we suspect there will be a 6% rise in 2015. By December 2017, the prediction is that there will be a total appreciation of about 19%
To learn about the real estate market in specific Bay Area neighborhoods, contact me anytime at:
Jim Walberg
925-260-8800
jim@jimwalberg.com
http://www.thebayareateam.com
*MARKET UPDATE – 11/7/14*
After the Pacific Union Real Estate economic forum held November 6th, 2014 in San Francisco, I want to revise my appreciation predictions for the next three years to either side of 5% instead of 19%. We have reached the peak of this two year appreciation run, so if sellers are sitting on the sidelines hoping for more, it is time to get their homes on the market now! For more information contact me today!
- Coming Soon| 255 Viewpoint Dr, Danville CA - June 17, 2015
- What’s Happening in the Bay Area Real Estate Market? - November 6, 2014
- Coming Soon | 210 Promenade Lane, Danville - October 31, 2014
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